A scientific look at the IPCC’s failure to produce realistic computer models, the basis for alarmist action against our societies welfare.
“Examining past reports is quite enlightening since it reveals what the IPCC has learned in the last 24 years.
I conclude that nothing has been learned other than how to obfuscate, mislead and deceive.”
Guest essay Energy Matters
In geology we use computer models to simulate complex processes. A good example would be 4D simulation of fluid flow in oil and gas reservoirs. These reservoir models are likely every bit as complex as computer simulations of Earth’s atmosphere. An important part of the modelling process is to compare model realisations with what actually comes to pass after oil or gas production has begun. It is called history matching. At the outset, the models are always wrong but as more data is gathered they are updated and refined to the point that they have skill in hind casting what just happened and forecasting what the future holds. This informs the commercial decision making process.
The IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) has now published 5 major reports, the First Assessment Report (FAR) in 1990. This provides an opportunity to examine what…
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