Global Warming – More on the BEST claim of proven AGW


Sea level was 5 to 7 meters higher during MIS ...

Image via Wikipedia

WUWT posts an article by Alec Rawls, titled ‘Explaining Muller vs. Muller: is BEST blissfully unaware of cosmic-ray-cloud theory?’

This claim by the Berkely group really is only propaganda for the masses and has little scientific credibility, as is shown in this and previous posts.

I find the post section on ocean heat and levels of great interest. Firstly the degree of accuracy in measuring both these parameters is almost mind-boggling.

The immense volume of the oceans and the statistically small amount of data used in computing small but apparently meaningful changes in temperature. Huge variations in measurable ocean height due to tides, wave and global distribution, yet volume changes due to water temperature are assessed in fractions of a mm.

However, these computations are accepted, by scientists on both sides of the fence, as meaningful, i.e., variations in either direction are accepted as a useful measure of actual global, planet temperature or temperature anomalies.

Therefore there is no reason to dispute the reported results if the same rules are applied in assessing them. This is the particular section:

“Almost all of the heat capacity of the biosphere is in the oceans. Thus climate change over time means a change in ocean heat content. Land surface temperature is a volatile expression of this global temperature, depending on whether colder or warmer ocean currents are at the surface. That volatility makes surface temperatures an iffy way to track climate change, and today, better evidence is available.

In recent years, ARGO’s automated fleet of temperature sounding devices provides much improved direct measurement of ocean temperature. According to NOAA, data from these floats show ocean heat content for the top 700 meters as close to flat for about 10 years now:

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(Bob Tisdale says that NOAA has recently started reporting heat content for the top 2000 meters, but apparently it is still a work in progress, as they don’t display it on their heat content page.)

Ocean heat content can also be measured by sea level, which is determined by the thermal expansion of the oceans, plus net land-ice melt. Here is NOAA’s sea level data, compensated for land-ice melt and variations in salinity. It shows ocean heat content as roughly flat for about the last eight years:

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This best evidence indicates that global warming has stopped, which militates against the CO2 theory of late 20th century warming, but the oceans do not show the global cooling that the solar-theory predicts, so it does not clearly favor the cosmic-ray-cloud hypothesis either. The very latest sea level data, however, may finally be telling the tale:

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Steve Goddard, September 2011: “The latest sea level numbers are out, and Envisat shows that the two year long decline is continuing, at a rate of 5mm per year.”

That’s actual sea level, not steric sea level. Subtract out the ongoing land-ice melt from our currently warm climate and thermosteric sea level is falling even more rapidly. If cosmic-ray-cloud effects do dominate CO2 effects, we’ll probably have full proof within the next couple of years.”

So this post has several aspects of interest, all supporting our arguments that the carbon control world-wide drive is not justified by science.  It is past time that the public and governments got their brains in gear and their thinking on a realistic level.

Excellent publishing WUWT. Read the article here.

About Ken McMurtrie

Retired Electronics Engineer, most recently installing and maintaining medical X-Ray equipment. A mature age "student" of Life and Nature, an advocate of Truth, Justice and Humanity, promoting awareness of the injustices in the world.
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4 Responses to Global Warming – More on the BEST claim of proven AGW

  1. rogerthesurf says:

    Ken,

    You should read this book. Best explanation why and how we are being deluged with this crap data and theories.

    It is, as you will read, somewhat critical of the IPCC, but it is well researched and documented AND the facts are easily verifiable!

    “The Delinquent Teenager who was mistaken for the world’s top climate expert”

    Here is an excerpt : “Having morphed into an obnoxious adolescent, the IPCC is now everyone’s problem. This is because it
    performs one of the most important jobs in the world. Its purpose is to survey the scientific literature regarding climate change, to decide what it all means, and to write an ongoing series of reports. These reports are informally known as the Climate Bible. The Climate Bible is cited by governments around the world. It is the reason carbon taxes are being introduced, heating bills are rising, and costly new regulations are being enacted. It is why everyone thinks carbon dioxide emissions are dangerous. Put simply: the entire planet is in a tizzy because of a UN report. What most of us don’t know is that, rather than being written by a meticulous, upstanding professional in business attire, this report was produced by a slapdash, slovenly teenager who has trouble distinguishing right from wrong.”

    I would like to give you a link for the entire pdf but the author does deserve her USD$4.99.

    I thoroughly recommend you download for yourself.
    https://www.aplusdownload.com/cgi-bin/apluspro/scripts/apluspro.cgi?action=4&item_number=iap0001&iap0001_qty=1&cd=iocmvjwgc

    This will wake everyone up as to where the real issues lie.

    Cheers

    Roger

    http://www.rogerfromnewzealand.wordpress.com

  2. Always keep in mind “Imagination is more important than knowledge. For knowledge is limited to all we now know and understand, while imagination embraces the entire world, and all there ever will be to know and understand.” – Albert Einstein

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